Australia's storm season 2008/9 reports and discussion

Page 1 of 2 [ 24 posts ]  Go to page 1, 2  Next

AussieMatt
Snowy Owl
Snowy Owl

User avatar

Joined: 13 Jun 2007
Age: 35
Gender: Male
Posts: 165
Location: NSW, Australia

12 Sep 2008, 5:41 pm

Typical! This cell died before reached us but gained some good lightning show. I have two best pictures of night. Doesn't look as good as others so far. The clouds are very smudged by strong norther'lies. We had some rain. Total 5.8mm.

Image

Image

Anyways, today is looking far better than yesterday. More instability and moisture and heat. Up to 29/15 at 3pm EST. Lifted Index is deepening towards -4/-5 over us during the afternoon with CAPE around 1200KJ. The movement of storms will be similar to yesterday.

Bring it on day 2 of the storm outbreak!


_________________
Cheers

Matt


AussieMatt
Snowy Owl
Snowy Owl

User avatar

Joined: 13 Jun 2007
Age: 35
Gender: Male
Posts: 165
Location: NSW, Australia

12 Sep 2008, 6:56 pm

Storms has started firing up in mid west New South Wales. Looks like an early start today!

Stormcast has upgraded the instability today with Li at -6 and CAPE at 1900KJ!


_________________
Cheers

Matt


release_the_bats
Veteran
Veteran

User avatar

Joined: 13 Jul 2008
Gender: Female
Posts: 1,033

12 Sep 2008, 9:10 pm

Thanks for posting those pics and info about the weather in NSW. I really want to go there one day, maybe permanently.



AussieMatt
Snowy Owl
Snowy Owl

User avatar

Joined: 13 Jun 2007
Age: 35
Gender: Male
Posts: 165
Location: NSW, Australia

12 Sep 2008, 11:18 pm

Today's weather conditions
Lismore: 30.4 feels like 29.6
Byron Bay: 24.3
Ballina: 29 feels like 32.1
Evans Head: 30.1 feels like 32.5

Hottest and humid day since March!! !! More cells firing up on radar now! Bring it on storms!


_________________
Cheers

Matt


AussieMatt
Snowy Owl
Snowy Owl

User avatar

Joined: 13 Jun 2007
Age: 35
Gender: Male
Posts: 165
Location: NSW, Australia

13 Sep 2008, 2:01 am

Northern Rivers today's temperatures
Byron Bay: 23.5
Ballina AP: 27.7
Ballina AWS: 29.1
Lismore City: 30.4
Lismore AP: 30.6
Casino: 30.3

Warm one since March. No storms today due to Darwinites cloned their weather down here like their conditions today. (Dry lol). Looking forward to tomorrow's storms on frontal line!


_________________
Cheers

Matt


blue_bean
Veteran
Veteran

User avatar

Joined: 13 Apr 2006
Gender: Female
Posts: 10,617
Location: Behind the wheel

13 Sep 2008, 5:43 am

Here is P.Mac's weather forecast for the next week:


SUN: A Few Showers. Mostly Cloudy. Mild. Winds 20 km/h NNW. Rain 1mm (39%). Humidity 75%. Min 16 Max 23

MON: Mostly Sunny. Mild. Winds 20 km/h NNE. Humidity 52%. Min 14 Max 24

TUE: Mostly Sunny. Cool. Winds 23 km/h S. Humidity 41%. Min 13 Max 22

WED: Partly Cloudy. Cool. Winds 9 km/h S. Humidity 77%. Min 11 Max 17

THU: Light Rain Early. Morning Clouds. Cool. Winds 11 km/h SSW. Rain 1mm (30%). Humidity 77%. Min 11 Max 19

FRI: Mostly Sunny. Mild. Winds 22 km/h NNE. Humidity 57%. Min 11 Max 23

SAT: Afternoon Clouds. Cool. Winds 12 km/h N. Humidity 56%. Min 14 Max 23

No storms :(



Bradleigh
Veteran
Veteran

User avatar

Joined: 25 May 2008
Age: 35
Gender: Non-binary
Posts: 6,669
Location: Brisbane, Australia

13 Sep 2008, 6:03 am

I thought I heard a storm earlier, but it was just the kettle.


_________________
Through dream I travel, at lantern's call
To consume the flames of a kingdom's fall


AussieMatt
Snowy Owl
Snowy Owl

User avatar

Joined: 13 Jun 2007
Age: 35
Gender: Male
Posts: 165
Location: NSW, Australia

13 Sep 2008, 7:32 pm

Isn't me or central NSW getting all the action??


_________________
Cheers

Matt


AussieMatt
Snowy Owl
Snowy Owl

User avatar

Joined: 13 Jun 2007
Age: 35
Gender: Male
Posts: 165
Location: NSW, Australia

13 Sep 2008, 11:55 pm

Forecasts for here over next 7 days.

Tomorrow
Sunny 17-30

Tuesday
Cloud increasing 19-30

Wednesday
Few showers 12-22

Thursday
Clearing 15-25

Friday
Sunny 17-28

Saturday
Afternoon shower/storm 18-30

Sunday
Afternoon shower/storm 20-32

PS: Storms and rainband coming on its way! Looking good on radars!


_________________
Cheers

Matt


AussieMatt
Snowy Owl
Snowy Owl

User avatar

Joined: 13 Jun 2007
Age: 35
Gender: Male
Posts: 165
Location: NSW, Australia

15 Sep 2008, 12:50 am

No rain/storms until Saturday. Looks like a bit cooler for us on Wednesday before 30 degrees to come back! But this time low temperatures will be alot hotter.


_________________
Cheers

Matt


AussieMatt
Snowy Owl
Snowy Owl

User avatar

Joined: 13 Jun 2007
Age: 35
Gender: Male
Posts: 165
Location: NSW, Australia

15 Sep 2008, 5:01 pm

Woot! That was hot one last night! It was 19 degrees! Warmest night since March! Now its 23/19 78%. Looks like humid and hot one today before the change later. Hopefully some storms to hit us this afternoon to cool down us!


_________________
Cheers

Matt


AussieMatt
Snowy Owl
Snowy Owl

User avatar

Joined: 13 Jun 2007
Age: 35
Gender: Male
Posts: 165
Location: NSW, Australia

19 Sep 2008, 1:33 am

Forecast for Friday evening
Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Light to moderate north to northwest winds tending fresh northeast along the coast.

Forecast for Saturday
Isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Freshening north to northwest winds.

Lismore: Shower or two. Chance afternoon thunderstorm. Min: 16
Max: 31
Cape Byron: Shower or two. Chance afternoon thunderstorm. Min: 19 Max:
25
Grafton: Shower or two. Chance afternoon thunderstorm. Min: 15 Max:
33

Forecast for Sunday
Isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Light to moderate southeast winds tending northeasterly later.

Lismore: Chance afternoon thunderstorm. Min: 15 Max: 29

Forecast for Monday
Fine. Freshening northwest to northeast winds.

Lismore: Fine. Min: 15 Max: 29

Forecast for Tuesday
Some rain developing with the chance of thunderstorms. Northwest winds shifting southerly later.

Lismore: Rain developing. Min: 15 Max: 27

Looking good for us overnight into the weekend. Stormcast has strong deep instability for the storms until Tuesday while tomorrow and Sunday going for supercellular chacteristics. I won't be surprised about that. It gonna be hot for tomorrow max 32 degrees!

Bring it on outbreak!


_________________
Cheers

Matt


FieryGatoh
Veteran
Veteran

Joined: 21 Apr 2007
Gender: Male
Posts: 502

19 Sep 2008, 2:46 am

Ths is exactly why I want to move back to England. Storms are my greatest fear. (Excluding the deaths of family members and the like).

The hot weather always brings the worst storms.



AussieMatt
Snowy Owl
Snowy Owl

User avatar

Joined: 13 Jun 2007
Age: 35
Gender: Male
Posts: 165
Location: NSW, Australia

19 Sep 2008, 6:55 pm

Its already hot and humid with nice Northeaster'ly seabreezes. Temperature now is 25.4/19.3 and feels like 26.7. Today outlook for the storms looking incredibly repeated since last October where we had tornado, hailstorms and violent supercells.

For today instability looks incredible at Li -8 and CAPE 2600!

Image

Image

Looks like one or a few HP monsters locally. Northern Rivers would be direct hit from most activity according to moisture profile and good solid windshear like on 17th December 2005 violent supercells. Any risk of tornado is low to moderate, could be anything according to windshear profile produce any rotations from any supercell monsters!

Now tomorrow is going far from the worse, instability deepening towards US Texas style supercells with severe Li's down to -10 and CAPE well above 3100!


Image

Image

Looks like best storm outbreak since last October yet to come! Bring it on rain and storms!


_________________
Cheers

Matt


Tim_Tex
Veteran
Veteran

User avatar

Joined: 2 Jul 2004
Age: 46
Gender: Male
Posts: 46,679
Location: Houston, Texas

19 Sep 2008, 6:57 pm

What is the weather like in the various parts of Australia?


_________________
Who’s better at math than a robot? They’re made of math!


AussieMatt
Snowy Owl
Snowy Owl

User avatar

Joined: 13 Jun 2007
Age: 35
Gender: Male
Posts: 165
Location: NSW, Australia

19 Sep 2008, 11:05 pm

32.2/22.5 and feels like 34.5 here now

Storms firing up now. Nice anvil out west and plenty of convection!


_________________
Cheers

Matt