Are You Good at Predicting 'Happenings'?

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NeantHumain
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18 Feb 2005, 12:45 am

Hello again, dear members of WrongPlanet.net,

At this time, I have begun to a ponder a question of unknown import: How well can one intuitively predict a sequence of events that may or may not have already begun and continues into the futurespace of the time axis? I desired to investigate this question with scientific rigor, so I devised a computer program to aid my quest.

The program produces a sequence S of positive integers. The research sample R (in the trial case, this was me) writes down the sequence S? of numbers he or she predicts the program will generate. The examiner (again, me) validates the predicted sequence against the actual sequence to yield the accuracy ratio A%.

My findings were startling, to say the least. I have discovered that, in my trial sample of myself, I achieved an accuracy ratio of exactly 100%. I realize that I will have to run this experiment again on a larger sample to confirm my data; nevertheless, we can conclude that the human ability to predict the future should not be discounted.

The Program (in C++):

Code:
//////////////////////////////////////////
// Positive Integer Sequence Generator ///
// For Scientific Experimentation ////////
// v1.0 //////////////////////////////////
// Public Domain - 2005 //////////////////
//////////////////////////////////////////

#include <iostream>
const int SEQ_LNGT = 10;

int main()
{
    int sequence[SEQ_LNGT] = {1, 2, 3, 24, 600, 6, 7, 255, 21, 10};
    std::cout << "Sequence S: " << std::flush;

    for (int i = 0; i < SEQ_LNGT; i++)
    {
        if (i == (SEQ_LNGT - 1))
            std::cout << sequence[i] << std::endl;
        else
            std::cout << sequence[i] << ", " << std::flush;
    }

    return 0;
}
// THE L33TN3SS ENDS HERE. //
/////////////////////////////


Data:

Examination Sample Size: 1
Sequence S: {1, 2, 3, 24, 600, 6, 7, 255, 21, 10}
Sequence S?: {1, 2, 3, 24, 600, 6, 7, 255, 21, 10}
Accuracy Ratio A%: 100%



NeantHumain
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18 Feb 2005, 12:53 am

P.S.: After running this experiment with a more expansive R sample, I intend to publish my findings to a peer-reviewed scholarly journal.



Scoots5012
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18 Feb 2005, 2:03 am

Similar experiments have been done in the past to test whether a person had the psychokinetic ability to force a random number generator to produce a less than random sequence of number. I read about all this originally in an issue of electronics now from roughly ten years ago.

http://www.akashicuniversity.com/articl ... Swartz.htm

It's quite the fascinating read.

And good luck with your own research


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UltimApe
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18 Feb 2005, 3:04 pm

Intuition is not being psychic, its not something magical or anything like that.

Intuition is the abbilyt of an individual to percieve the situation in a way that they are keener at picking out things that would cause certain results.

If there is nothing to pick out, then it might as well be guessing. <- this is not intuition

It might seem magical, and tottally random, but it is a subconcious effort for our mind to order things. its just that some people hear this internal chatter more than others.

Its the same thing as when you were to catch a ball, quickly you predict wher it is going to move based on how it is moving at it's current time.



magic
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20 Feb 2005, 9:45 pm

The program implements a complicated way of outputting the string "Sequence S: 1, 2, 3, 24, 600, 6, 7, 255, 21, 10". The algorithm is trivial and fully deterministic, therefore its output can be obviously predicted with 100% accuracy. Unless I am missing something, NeantHumain, I find it unlikely that you consider such results startling. Can you explain the motivation behind your posts? Thanks.



NeantHumain
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20 Feb 2005, 11:03 pm

magic wrote:
The program implements a complicated way of outputting the string "Sequence S: 1, 2, 3, 24, 600, 6, 7, 255, 21, 10". The algorithm is trivial and fully deterministic, therefore its output can be obviously predicted with 100% accuracy. Unless I am missing something, NeantHumain, I find it unlikely that you consider such results startling. Can you explain the motivation behind your posts? Thanks.


Of course, magic, my motivation is humor. Nota bene the heavy use of academiquese and the fallacied conclusion (based off a poorly constructed experiment).

Also look in the code comments. It's hardly a generator because the numbers are hardcoded. The code is so trivial that putting it in the public domain is worthless. Adding a version number is just pretense. Notice "THE L33TN3SS ENDS HERE." is a reference to script kiddie culture, with its lack of technical skill. My post was laden with irony and allusions; you just have to look.



magic
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21 Feb 2005, 11:05 pm

NeantHumain wrote:
Of course, magic, my motivation is humor. Nota bene the heavy use of academiquese and the fallacied conclusion (based off a poorly constructed experiment).
Also look in the code comments. It's hardly a generator because the numbers are hardcoded. The code is so trivial that putting it in the public domain is worthless. Adding a version number is just pretense. Notice "THE L33TN3SS ENDS HERE." is a reference to script kiddie culture, with its lack of technical skill. My post was laden with irony and allusions; you just have to look.

I suspected that you were not serious, but the C++ code could be unobvious for non-programmers, and thus lead to your posts being misinterpreted. Thanks for an explanation.