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Isabella's Door Dilemma - Poll

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Which Door Should I Choose?
Door #1 8%  8%  [ 1 ]
Door #2 31%  31%  [ 4 ]
Door #3 23%  23%  [ 3 ]
Remained Undoored 38%  38%  [ 5 ]
Total votes : 13

naturalplastic
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10 Apr 2023, 9:41 am

babybird wrote:
Where do the doors lead to or have I missed something


Its the old U.S. gameshow "Lets Make a Deal".

One door has a zillion dollar prize, the others not.



naturalplastic
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10 Apr 2023, 9:47 am

nick007 wrote:
A few days ago I watched an ep of MythBusters about this on Tru TV. I quickly checked YouTube & couldn't find it. Their study showed the best odds are when you change your door pick after one door gets removed. For example~ chose door 1, door 2 gets removed, your asked if you want to change your door, then you change your pick to door 3 for best likelihood of winning. I did NOT understand why the odds would not be 50/50 after one door is gone unless it's rigged & they chose or change the winning door after you 1st pick it. If it's not rigged, I would expect that you have the same odds if you change your door or not :?


Yes. I was thinking of that too. The "Monty Hall Problem" is quite a buzz among mathematicians. Its counterintuitive.

Old Monty Hall would make it two part. First you pick one of the three doors, and THEN Monty Hall takes away one of the doors you didnt pick leaving the one you picked, and one other. Asks you if you wanna change your mind to that other door, or keep the one you picked. For some reason its smart to change your mind, and to pick that other remaining door.



IsabellaLinton
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12 Apr 2023, 9:41 am

So far the voting is:


Door 1 - 0

Door 2 - 3

Door 3 - 3

No Door - 5


Voting is still open.

I did No Door, then rattled Doors 2 and 3 a bit. No comment.
I'm still contemplating Door 1 if anyone thinks it looks good.


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naturalplastic
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12 Apr 2023, 10:57 am

Well...keep us posted.

"Opening doors" en Espanol:

https://youtu.be/Un_UMOdqF0M


https://youtu.be/Eg7l7UEYMOI


https://youtu.be/iyoPaVxMyWY



https://youtu.be/NFeUko-lQHg



Last edited by naturalplastic on 12 Apr 2023, 3:08 pm, edited 5 times in total.

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12 Apr 2023, 11:04 am

No relevance to your door dilemma but found it funny nonetheless

Image


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naturalplastic
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12 Apr 2023, 11:13 am

The lady?

The tiger?

or

The broom closet?



naturalplastic
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14 Apr 2023, 3:01 pm

Well...

How is your door dilemma going?



old_comedywriter
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14 Apr 2023, 3:19 pm

The only door they let me open was the one that says "EXIT".


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14 Apr 2023, 7:37 pm

Door 1.

Because no one else did.

:lol:


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IsabellaLinton
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14 Apr 2023, 7:41 pm

Thanks Edna.
I wanted Door 1 but alas, it wasn't meant to be.

Thanks for your votes everyone.

Door 2 it is.
Maybe a few 3s and 4s in the future.


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14 Apr 2023, 7:45 pm

If there are three doors, you have a 33% chance of picking the correct door. They won’t take away the winning door, so now you have a 50% chance of picking the winning door, but yes, choosing to stick should’ve just as valid as choosing to switch. May just be too small a sample to level out.