Israel/Palestine -- how could a one-state solution work?
All non indigenous races (Whites Blacks Asians and Hispanics) are equivalent to the Jews in Israel. And the native Americans are the equivalent to the Palestinians.
Gaza and the West Bank are equivalent to the tribal Indian reservations we have.
Almost but not quite.
They are equivalent to what the Indian reservations were when they were originally created, which were places where the indigenous people were confined to. These days, indigenous Americans are no longer confined to the reservations.
In a hypothetical unified Israel-Palestine, I think both Gaza and Areas A and B in the West Bank should be turned into what the Indian reservations are now: places that are reserved for indigenous people, but not places they are confined to.
In a hypothetical unified Israel-Palestine, I also think that some parts (but not the entirety) of what is now Israel should be reserved for Jews. The parts reserved for Jews should be (1) places where indigenous Jews traditionally lived before Zionism was a thing and/or (2) at least some of places that were truly uninhabited and uninhabitable before European Jews began arriving in the late 1800's and began irrigating the place.
But I also think a significant part of the land mass (including Area C of the West Bank plus various parts of what is now Israel, including the sea port of Jaffa, parts of Jerusalem and its vicinity, and corridors connecting these areas to each other and to West Bank area C, Gaza, and the Golan Heights) should be a federal area where all citizens would be allowed to live and travel. The Golan Heights would also be part of the federal area.
As I envision it, both the Jewish-only areas and the Palestinian/Arab areas would have local governments subordinate to the federal government.
The federal area would be contiguous and would contain all (or at least most of) the militarily strategic highland areas. The military would be systematically integrated.
Also, and very important: There should be a policy of NO EVICTIONS. People who were living in a reserved area before it was declared to be reserved should not be evicted just because they are of the wrong religion/ethnicity. They would just be prohibited from moving there if they didn't already live there, and/or from buying land there if they didn't already own it.
So the natives stopped fighting 150 years ago here in the US.
But image if it were more even. Imagine if the Natives and post Columbian newcomers had similar population sizes. And both got arms aid from outside powers. Israel is slightly more powerful than the Palestinians but its not nearly as lopsided as Indians vs immigrants in the US.
So instead of 300 million invaders vs 1.5 million natives...imagine if the US were divided between 150 million on each side. Thats Israel/Palestine.
Yes, and a big sticking point in a unified Israel-Palestine would be maintaining the population balance.
In a unified Israel-Palestine, there would probably need to be a constitutionally mandated immigration policy that would balance the "right of return" of diaspora Jews against the "right of return" of Palestinian refugees. Both could become citizens at a rate determined by the current population balance. (On the Jewish side, immigration policy might also favor Jews from countries where they are actually being persecuted over Jews from countries where they are not being persecuted.)
My point is that the Palestinians and the Israeli Jews are in the same "weight class" as combatant nations. Germany and France are not precisely equal in population size, but when they fight wars with each other they are in the same weight class. They are roughly comparable in size, population, military power, etc.
At the end of the Civil War the reunited US had a population of 30 million. The unconquered Indians in the west ..all tribes put together...had only 300 thousand people. One percent of the manpower of the enemy that was about to descend upon them to finnish off the frontier. So its like Germany to Luxemburg instead of Germany to France.
If there had been say ten million Indians on the Great Plains then...the US might still be embroiled in war ...like that between Palestine and Israel today. With both sides having real fears that the other will "drive them into the sea".
The Indians would burn settlers homes...but never threatened to wipe out New York City and drive the White/Black/Yellow population into the Atlantic Ocean. But if there had ten million of them they might have.
But you're right...the issue of balance in voting population is also an issue. Thats what happened in Lebanon between Christians and Muslims. Christians were the majority but then the Muslim population grew to equal it, and then surpass. The result was civil war...that has never really stopped.
Yes. The enemy is not the Palestinian people. The enemy is HAMAS.
Somehow Israel is going to have to work with the Palestinian authority to isolate HAMAS from the Gaza population that it controls, in order to destroy HAMAS. And giving Gaza back to the PA would be vital to do that.
The Palestinian authority cant really directly ally with Israel against HAMAS. But the PA can partner up with other Arab states...and that partnership can ally with Israel against HAMAS.
On one hand Israel has already made quiet common cause with the Saudies against their common enemy Iran.
So forming a Saudi-Jordan-PA-Israel alliance against the Iranian proxy of HAMAS already has momentum and common interest.
I don't know what you think, but I have a strong impression most Palestinians expect the Jews to be gone sooner or later. They look around and see a world that is largely on their side, even US support for Zionism is getting shaky compared to what it was during the Cold War. I don't know if they're right, but it gives them no incentive to give anything up if they expect to get everything they want in a generation or two. As they probably are wrong, war in that region will go on for as long as humans remain on Earth or at least until the collapse of civilization .
https://apnews.com/article/palestinian- ... ubscribers
Egypt’s greatest fear is the Muslim Brotherhood, surely they don’t want more of them who will certainly be among a lot of the refugees (Hamas forces).
Jordan has a very bad history with armed Palestinians: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_September
With tons of financial resources and weapons from Iran, a Hamas presence can easily become a state-within-state and seek to replace the host regimes, or even to attempt to take over the host country as a replacement country. It happened in Jordan and it happened (in much worse fashion) in Lebanon.
They should really restrict refugees status to women, children and elderly only. No young men (even tho the PLO historically had a lot of armed female recruits among the Fedayeen, but the modern Hamas doesn’t seem so).
So yeah, of course the neighboring Arab stares will be wary.
It would make them party to eithnic cleansing.
It’s illegal under international law to forcibly expel your own citizens.
I don’t think it’s even been done since WW2 USSR forced people to move around it’s own borders Uganda made the Indians very uncomfortable but as far as I know no other country in modern times has gone as far as to expel its citizens to a neighbouring country at gun point.
Bombing Gaza and asking Egypt to take in those running away in the natural south direction of safety is exactly that.
Egypt would then have 2 million refugees stuck in tents in the desert for years hunger disease etc would be a disaster so why would they do that.
If you zoom into a map there’s plenty of room to the SE of Israel for a temp refugee camp in their desert if they were sincere.
I suspect the demand to open the border crossing is not a sincere request to help rather looks an obvious attempt to expel a population.
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Last edited by carlos55 on 20 Oct 2023, 7:03 am, edited 2 times in total.
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I don't know what you think, but I have a strong impression most Palestinians expect the Jews to be gone sooner or later. They look around and see a world that is largely on their side, even US support for Zionism is getting shaky compared to what it was during the Cold War. I don't know if they're right, but it gives them no incentive to give anything up if they expect to get everything they want in a generation or two. As they probably are wrong, war in that region will go on for as long as humans remain on Earth or at least until the collapse of civilization .
I mentioned the British and the French withdrawals earlier. The c
I don't know what you think, but I have a strong impression most Palestinians expect the Jews to be gone sooner or later. They look around and see a world that is largely on their side, even US support for Zionism is getting shaky compared to what it was during the Cold War. I don't know if they're right, but it gives them no incentive to give anything up if they expect to get everything they want in a generation or two. As they probably are wrong, war in that region will go on for as long as humans remain on Earth or at least until the collapse of civilization .
I mentioned the withdrawals of the British and French from their colonies as giving them the opinion western powers which is how they view Israel will eventually quit. They look at the U.S. defeats in Vietnam and Afghanistan, Israel's withdrawals from the Sinai and Lebanon as proof that that despite their own substantial military disadvantages they will outlast Israel another “colonist western” power.
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Do you have any evidence for this, based on what Palestinian political commentators (other than perhaps the extremists like Hamas) are actually saying?
Based on the admittedly superficial Google-based research I've done while writing replies in this thread, I've found a fair amount of contrary evidence. See my post here about the meaning of "de-colonization."
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As far as I can tell, though, the Lebanon civil wars have been caused not just by population imbalance per se, but also by spillover from the Israeli/Palestinian conflict, compounded by foreign interference (e.g. Iran's support of Hezbollah).
Be that as it may, I do understand that population balance, between Jews and Palestinians/"Arabs," would be a big concern in a hypothetical unified Israel/Palestine.
But, at least during the early decades of the unified state's existence, this concern could be dealt with via constitutionally-mandated restrictions on the rates at which immigrants, including both Palestinian refugees and newly-arriving Jewish immigrants, are allowed to become full voting citizens. People in either category would be allowed to become full voting citizens only when their doing so would not enable either Jews or Muslims (or people of Muslim heritage) to become an absolute majority. (Among both Palestinians and current Israelis, there are also small numbers of indigenous Christians, Druze, Samaritans, and maybe also a few other traditional religious minorities that I haven't heard of, to whom these restrictions on the rate of becoming full citizens would not need to be applied.)
This could keep the voting population in balance -- at least until such time as the last Palestinian refugee is finally allowed to become a full voting citizen, at which point the constitutionally mandated restrictions on full citizenship would come to an end.
(After that point, there would then be a much greater risk of Jews outnumbering Palestinians/"Arabs" than vice versa.)
Also, as I detailed in an earlier post in this thread, I also think that, while Jews and Palestinians/"Arabs" should have equal rights in at least 50% of the land area of the unified state, there should also be some areas reserved for Palestinians/"Arabs" and some areas reserved for Jews, similar to Indian reservations in their current form here in the U.S.A. This would hopefully address whatever fears both groups might have about being physically crowded out of the unified state.
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Last edited by Mona Pereth on 20 Oct 2023, 10:04 am, edited 1 time in total.
Not quite. Jews are still only a vary small minority in the U.S.A. as a whole. And, even here in New York, Jews are far from being a majority, although they are one of the largest of the many ethnic groups here.
For at least several decades before Hitler came to power, Germany seemed to be a great place for Jews too. That's why so many Jews ardently desire a country where Jews can be a majority, or at least not a small and vulnerable minority.
Therefore, I think it's important to come up with a solution that accommodates the understandable fears of Jews while at the same time respecting the rights of Palestinians/Arabs.
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My impression is that they see the current Israel/Palestine situation as being more like Apartheid-era South Africa than like, say, French Algeria, and they are hoping for a solution similar to the end of Apartheid. In South Africa, if I'm not mistaken, although quite a few white people left when Apartheid ended, the vast majority of white people did NOT leave; they just gave up their legally-mandated privileges over everyone else, after decades of international pressure to do so.
See also my post here about the meaning of "de-colonization" in the Israel/Palestine context.
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Not quite. Jews are still only a vary small minority in the U.S.A. as a whole. And, even here in New York, Jews are far from being a majority, although they are one of the largest of the many ethnic groups here.
For at least several decades before Hitler came to power, Germany seemed to be a great place for Jews too. That's why so many Jews ardently desire a country where Jews can be a majority, or at least not a small and vulnerable minority.
Therefore, I think it's important to come up with a solution that accommodates the understandable fears of Jews while at the same time respecting the rights of Palestinians/Arabs.
It was a joke, but the truth within the joke is that you could easily fit every Jew in the world in that state and then some. New York was once called New Amsterdam, and maybe in the future we'll be calling it New Israel, who's to say? We should be thinking outside the sandbox here.
Israel could be a normal state.
It could end Apartheid in exchange for Islamic armed groups to disarm inc Hezbollah being incorporated into Lebanon armed forces under gov control.
It could be done on a stage by stage basis
Israel take 100,000 low risk (single women / children) from Gaza & give them homes in tel aviv. In exchange the Islamic groups have to give up something.
It goes on until all armed groups have been filtered out of the population, major powers like on both sides like US & Iran give guarantees not to arm if their side breaks the agreement.
It would be hard at first but IRA / UDF N Ireland shows such things can be done, even if hatred does exist only a minority of those actually take part in Terrorism.
The problem as always it involves people giving up power, Israel its status as an exclusive Jewish state & the power of the Islamic armed groups.
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"The reasonable man adapts himself to the world; the unreasonable one persists in trying to adapt the world to himself. Therefore all progress depends upon the unreasonable man."
- George Bernie Shaw
My impression is that they see the current Israel/Palestine situation as being more like Apartheid-era South Africa than like, say, French Algeria, and they are hoping for a solution similar to the end of Apartheid. In South Africa, if I'm not mistaken, although quite a few white people left when Apartheid ended, the vast majority of white people did NOT leave; they just gave up their legally-mandated privileges over everyone else, after decades of international pressure to do so.
See also my post here about the meaning of "de-colonization" in the Israel/Palestine context.
My response to this is somewhat informed by my having visited SA during Apartheid almost 45 years ago. BTW I have also been to Israel. So it seems to me that South Africans saw themselves as part of the same nation, strangely enough, by which I mean that each saw the others as South African, and there was a degree of mutual respect despite the freakishly misguided Separate Development policy. It is probably amazing to a lot of people that many major cities still have the names given them by Afrikaners e.g. Pretoria. And they kept the same constitution more or less. They just did away with Apartheid and were somehow able to go forward. I can recall predictions that SA would experience a bloodbath, and having been there I wasn't surprised that there wasn't. As to why the Middle East can't follow that model, I could write a lengthy essay. I will say that part of it is due to people outside the ME not wanting peace there. There may once have been some desire for coexistence, but that disappeared decades ago.
It's true that you could easily fit every Jew in the world in New York State, but there's no way it's going to become an independent country.
Please, in this thread (of which I am the OP), let's stick to serious proposals.
By serious proposals, I mean ideas that could conceivably become acceptable both to moderate Palestinians and to moderate Israelis, and which both the U.S. government and the U.N. could then conceivably lean on Israel to accept.
In last night's Presidential speech, Biden once again called for progress toward a 2-state solution. We know that that ain't happening, despite the Oslo accords of 30 years ago. And we know that more and more people on both sides are, therefore, getting fed up with that whole idea.
As far as I can tell, more and more Palestinian/Arab moderates are now calling for a single state of Israel-Palestine, in which everyone has equal rights.
So the question, then, is how to structure that solution in a way that would adequately address the fears of Jewish Israeli moderates, while at the same time guaranteeing the rights of Palestinians/Arabs too.
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Last edited by Mona Pereth on 20 Oct 2023, 6:24 pm, edited 2 times in total.
When were you in Israel?
My partner was in Israel for a while back in the early 1990's, and his mother and stepfather live there now. (They are Jewish.)
That is indeed a real problem. However....
During the past several years, various Arab countries in the Middle East have become much friendlier to Israel than they ever were in the past. And, as far as I can tell, more and more Palestinians have been advocating a single unified Israel-Palestine with equal rights for all.
Why? See above. It seems to me that there have been strong moves toward co-existence -- at least from the Palestinian/Arab side.
Indeed, it seems to me that the most likely motive for the recent Hamas attack was to sabotage the recent trend toward co-existence. I sure hope that Hamas doesn't succeed.
As I said, as far as I can tell, more and more Palestinians have been advocating a single unified Israel-Palestine with equal rights for all.
Israeli moderates are afraid of this idea, due to fear of being outnumbered -- at least if all the Palestinian refugees get full voting rights all at once. Hence my idea that perhaps the Palestinian refugees could be put on a waiting list for full voting rights (at least in elections at the federal level), to keep the eligible voting populations approximately in balance at least until the last adult Palestinian refugee has finally gained the right to vote.
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That's interesting. I remember many years ago having a discussion about these issues with a Jewish supporter of Israel, and she told me that the very idea of a one state solution was anti-semitic, apparently on the grounds that it would imperil the status of Israel as a Jewish state. I've also observed that whenever I've asked the question of supporters of Israel, Jewish and non-Jewish alike, as to how they'd react to the idea of Arabs becoming a majority in the state of Israel, they've often become very uncomfortable, sometimes angry, or have tried to evade the issue. I think it's extremely unlikely that Arabs could ever become anything like a majority in the state of Israel as defined by its 1967 borders, but even so it's an interesting subject in the context of Israel's claim to be a modern democratic state.
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