A Trump-Sanders election - Never Trumper nightmare come true

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RushKing
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aghogday
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02 Feb 2020, 10:36 am

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UprcpdwuwCg

Fear; Lack of Meaning and Purpose; losing Social Roles that are shared and easily identified; Fear again, fear of
Change as some folks are more Genetically Pre-disposed and Environmentally Wired in Culture to be more Closed
Minded and averse to Change; Look at the 'Work of Jonathan Haidt' And How 'Morals' come to Rule in Politics too
where More Closed Minded folks Just wanna keep things like 'the good old days'.

The 'Good Old Days' are gone for those who are averse to Change.

Change is always the Rule; Now, Change is Changing Faster than ever before.

What Was once Black and White is now More Brown than Ever Before in colors more.

But the 'thing' is; Apes, no matter Hairy or Hairless are Stronger When they Work Together.

i Live in 'the 5th Avenue Place' that will continue support For 'Trump' at a rate of 85 Percent;
but it wouldn't matter who ran for Office as Long as they don't support Abortion and Gay Marriage.

The Church is the Glue; the Together that keeps '5th Avenue in place'; True, if the 'Old Joker' got
the Republican Nomination; they would do 'Harley Quinn' For Him in a Heart beat of 'Mad Love'/'Marriage'.

When Humans and or Rats Lose their Social Roles, they become more Fearful and Naturally More Conservative
And Closed Minded too as Fear takes away Free and Love of Truth Faster than any Poison of Soul there is.

Other than that; those who adapt to Change; whether Together or more Independent Inherit the Earth;
Survive and Potentially Thrive. Technology has taken the place of 'Together'; There are Younger Generations
No Longer as Tethered to 'Group Think of Traditional Ways' that bond and bind a Society together for Survival.

Nah; They are not Biden's And They are not Christians Who Profess Support to a New Messiah; whoever
they chose to Save them next. They Live for Today as Today is about as much Trust And Truth and Faith
That Society and the World Has to offer them Now as Social Roles/Jobs are going away increasingly to Machines.

And Those Machines don't need nearly as Many Humans to Run them 'these days'; increasingly so.

When Machines run the World; And When We become More Machine-like too; And the Jobs are gone;
You Either Hand out the Money or People Starve; Newer Generations wanna Survive too; You bet, they
will do what it takes to Survive too; and in this Case, while those with 'Feathered Nests' May Love their
10,000 Dollar Plus-a-year Employer Subsidized Health Care; People will Jump on-board Promises that will
not be made; no different than an economy that supports Stock Market Returns as those Working Class Jobs
continue to be replaced, increasingly by Machines; and they are Just as Miserable in a 'Trump Rally' Now still
waiting for their 'hand-out promise' too.

Empathy, as measured empirically among Humans here in the United States has Dropped 40 percent, 'lately'.

When People Stop Caring; Just about anything goes. There are so many Miserable People where i live'; it is
plastered on their faces and the way they Walk in the Trump-Land of Walmart; and the Church i attend and study
that repeats Faux Fake News talking Points from the Pulpit; exclaiming the Country Could No Longer be recognized
when Gay Folks got the Privilege to get Civilly Married; Celebrating the Election of 'Their New Messiah' to return
'their rule(s)'.

They are Butt Hurt. Butt Hurt people tend to do mean and callous things. But Again those
Who Adapt to Change will Survive and Even Thrive; Being closed minded is a Natural
Functional Disability to not achieve this. Meh; i public Dance 12,637 Miles Now in
this 'Trump Town USA' as a 'White Dude'; i can even get away with Ballet free-style
simply because i look like i could Hit a Home Run now on a First Baptist
SoftBall Team; And True, i Sing Like an 'Angel' as folks have told me at least
Helping Lead the Choir from the Back Pew in Catholic Church; all you have to do
is fit in with Love, Grace in Balance, Will, And Strength And command Non-Verbal Language;
and you can and will just about be able to do anything; No Matter How Cold 'Rome' Will be.

There are some of Us Who are Strong/Clever Enough to Create our Own Culture; no matter where we land in Life.

That's a Skill you Develop; That's a Skill You Master and Thrive with in Life. This to me at least is a life worth
living as long as this place is Free. It'll Probably Last until i die at least; If others want it to last longer they better find
some solutions fast; as Culture is Moving Faster than the Average Individual's ability to Adapt and even Survive for the
foreseeable Future. Revenge of the Nerds; The 'Silicon Types' are the ones who are thriving for now at least; until the
'Programmers' become Robots too.

Sanders and Warren may Cancel Each Other Out allowing Biden to secure the Nomination

Keep in Mind though; that Sanders came close last go around. Eventually those
Younger Generations are gonna rule; that's a reality, a truth everyone will count on then; the
Trumps or the Biden's ain't gonna fly with them; for sure for they will simply be dead like Sanders;
And that Leaves Warren and those like her; the Future; the Reality of a Technologically Ruled World.
Where the only answer will be Handing out the Dole to Live; or die. What else is a Consumer Society gonna
do when the Customer's Have no way to make Money; Consuming Less will be a Great Idea; that's Likely the Reality
of Nature's 'Plan', overall, for the Human Species as it continues to Consume itself further out of the potential for
continuing existence. Anyway, for me at least, Life is great in Heaven now as it doesn't come around that much in
A Universe Full of Cold and Hot Rocks; If You don't catch it now; the potential is no one else ever will again either;
at least as far as Human Eyes go here.

Gosh; what a Great Year 2020 is to live in for those of us who have accommodated the change and are Literally Thriving;
so far; yep, the 'Elites'; ain't got much to do with money; either, except for having enough, now and Inheriting the Earth.

Honestly; there is no worse place than Prison of the Human Soul; so many of my 'Friends' Live tHere; so sad it truly is.


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02 Feb 2020, 12:07 pm

Both Sanders and Trump are draft-dodgers, so neither gets my vote.



Antrax
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02 Feb 2020, 10:43 pm

TheRobotLives wrote:
Antrax wrote:
I don't think Sanders will win the nomination. Even with wins in Iowa New Hampshire and Nevada (a plausible scenario) he probably still loses South Carolina by a huge margin and enters two candidate race with Biden that runs a lot like a rerun of Hillary Clinton vs Sanders. It's worth remembering Hillary Clinton crushed Bernie by nearly 4 million votes and 14 percentage points in the last democratic primary.

Sanders has also come under relatively little fire from the democratic field. Harris, Warren, and Buttigieg, all had their surges reversed when the rest of the field trained their fire on them. In this respect the democratic primary is reminiscent of the last republican primary. The lead challenger to Trump kept rotating as candidates surged and fell but Trump held steady at ~30% of the polls. Biden has held steady between 27% and 30% in the national poll averages for nearly the entire election.

I think a Sanders or Warren candidacy likely ends in a Trump re-election. The fundamentals favor standing pat over making a change and while Trump's scandals and historically low approval rating (for the state the economy), make it likely that a Democrat can beat him, it is unlikely if that Democrat stands for radical change. Biden is an odd case because politically he's probably right where the country wants to be right now, but the man himself seems to have lost a step mentally. I think Buttigieg or Klobuchar likely win an election against Trump but both will struggle to secure the nomination and have their own liabilities.

In your analysis, where do Warren voters go?

Right now, Sanders and Biden are close.

However, once (if) Warren drops out, her votes would seem to mostly go to Sanders?

If so, that would seem to make Sanders very formidable?


Where do Buttigieg, Klobuchar, Bloomberg, Steyer, and Yang voters go as well? In a 2 candidate race all the other candidates are out of race not just Warren.


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auntblabby
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03 Feb 2020, 12:18 am

many ex-pols can tell you a big buncha lotta stuff can happen after Iowa, not necessarily favorable stuff.



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03 Feb 2020, 1:47 am

they like him because 1] he acts just like they do or wish they had the nerve to, 2] because he pretends to hate the same sorts that they do, IOW he is "their SOB" they used as a big stick to beat up people different from themselves. we have finally come within sight of the point the germans reached in the 30s when 1/3 of the country would gleefully massacre another 1/3 while the lions' share of the remaining 1/3 just watched. how prophetic jay gould was when he said he could hire one-half of the working class, to kill off the other half. the same thing that happened to certain infamous latin american dystopias in the 70s, seems to be headed our way.



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03 Feb 2020, 2:44 am

RushKing wrote:

Back on topic which is it which is that not only Bernie Bros that think Bernie can be elected but anti Trump conservatives
Of Course Bernie Can Win - To say Sanders is unelectable is indefensible by Bret Stephens for the New York Times
Quote:
“The first principle,” said Richard Feynman, “is that you must not fool yourself — and you are the easiest person to fool.”

When it comes to pundits and politics this year, I’d revise the great physicist’s admonition as follows: “The first principle is that you must not fool yourself that Bernie Sanders can’t win — not just the Democratic nomination, but also the presidency itself.”

The warning applies to me as much as to anyone else who has spent the past months, or years, insisting that the senator from Vermont doesn’t have a chance. What it comes down to is this: We don’t want Sanders to be elected, so we tell ourselves he can’t.

According to the theory, Sanders’s support has a hard ceiling: It may be intense, but it’s also cultlike and off-putting. Too many Americans know enough about socialism to want a president who wears the term proudly (even if he insists it’s of a more benign variety). He embraces nearly all of the same policies, like Medicare for all, that raised Elizabeth Warren high in the polls but are now dragging her down.

And then there are those clips of him saying nice things about the Soviet Union, or defending the Sandinista regime in Nicaragua, or finding the silver lining in the Castro dictatorship in Cuba. Didn’t Jeremy Corbyn, whose ideological affinities run in the same direction, just lead Britain’s Labour Party to disaster?

It all sounds superficially convincing — and eerily familiar. It’s what many conservatives kept saying about Donald Trump around this time four years ago.

As with Sanders, Trump was seen as being way outside his party’s mainstream: a protectionist in a party of free traders; an isolationist in a party of interventionists; a libertine in a party of moralists. As with Sanders, Trump barely belonged to the party whose nomination he sought. As with Sanders, Trump’s message was that he was fighting a “rigged system.”

And as with Sanders, the ideological distaste for Trump among conservatives was matched to the conviction that he couldn’t possibly win. “Let’s Elect Hillary Now,” was the title of one conservative lament about the popularity of supposedly unelectable Republicans, written toward the end of 2015. I know the article well because I wrote it.

Trump won because he was willing to say loudly what his supporters believed deeply; because, in his disdain for what politicians are supposed to be and do, he exuded authenticity; because he was hated by the people his base found hateful; because he had an opponent who, in the minds of his supporters, epitomized corruption and self-dealing; and because he offered radical cures for a country he diagnosed as desperately ill. Despite being the oldest man ever elected president, he seemed (to his voters) fresh, true, bold, and sorely needed.

So it is, and would be, with Sanders. Depth of conviction? Check. Contempt for conventional norms? Check. Opposed by all the right people? Check. Running against a “crooked” opponent? Check. Commitment to drastic change? Check. Like Trump, too, he isn’t so much campaigning for office as he is leading a movement. People who join movements aren’t persuaded. They’re converted. Their depth of belief is motivating and infectious.

The strength of Sanders’s movement is reflected in his blowout fund-raising numbers — nearly $100 million for 2019 — which only rose in the wake of his heart attack. If Sanders wins Iowa (where polls have him in a dead heat for first), and New Hampshire (where he has a slight lead), then the argument about his supposed non-electability will begin to crumble — including among older black voters, who have so far been among Joe Biden’s most important pillars of support.

But even if Sanders won the nomination, how would he win the election? Perhaps more easily than people suspect.

Intensity among Democratic-leaning voters will never be greater. There will likely be no third-party challenger like Ralph Nader to shave his margin, or an influential “NeverSanders” wing among liberal pundits. He will find crossover support from former Trump voters in places like Ohio and Michigan, just as Trump found it from former Obama voters. To energize African-American support, he could choose Eric Holder or Stacey Abrams as his running mate.

Nor will scare tactics work any better against Sanders than they did against Trump. Overwrought comparisons with Hugo Chávez will wear thin, just as comparisons between Trump and Benito Mussolini did. The easiest move in American politics is to show yourself to be less scary than your caricature. Ronald Reagan’s devastating “There you go again” line against Jimmy Carter can be a Sanders quip, too.

I write all this as someone who thinks a Sanders presidency would be ruinous on many levels: by turning the Democratic Party into a socialist one; by turning the American economy into a statist one; and by turning America’s position in the world into a feeble one. I’d hate to see him win the nomination, just as I hated seeing Trump win it in 2016. But wishes aren’t facts. To say Sanders is unelectable is indefensible.

Bolding=Mine


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03 Feb 2020, 2:49 am

even if by some major miracle, bernie wins, it is all for naught if he doesn't have a cooperative congress. we need the whole package in order to fix this nation's problems.



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03 Feb 2020, 3:15 am

If Sanders wins it will be on the momentum of winning all the early states. That's certainly possible however, I think he has a real problem in that he does not play in the South among southern democrats and among African American democrats. The last several Democratic nominees all did so on the strength of that demographic. Biden does which is why he's led the national polls consistently while hardly ever leading Iowa. If you want to draw a parallel to Trump, Biden polling wise is the better comp (though Bernie might be the better ideological fit).

There's also the simple matter that the Democratic party and the Republican party are not the same. Not only are the people in those parties different, the rules of the primaries are different. Donald Trump would never have won the Republican nomination if the Republican party used Democratic party rules. Republican rules emphasized winner take-all and there are no super delegates. This allows a frontrunner to accumulate a larger delegate lead and limits the chance of a contested convention. Under Democratic rules a contested convention where super delegates decide who wins the nomination is far more likely. Furthermore Democrats and Republicans are not the same ideologically or in values. More Democratic primaries tend to be open allowing independents to vote, to get the best general election candidate. More Republican primaries tend to be closed so that only registered party members can vote. Add in that there are more Republican-leaning independents and its easy to see how the Democratic process tends to more strongly limit the chances of nominating a radical candidate.


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03 Feb 2020, 3:23 am

i think in the event of another democratic loss this november, the democratic party will FINALLY split apart along its cultural fault lines in a nasty schism for the ages. as it is, in terms of homogeneity it is the opposite of the GOP which is, above all [in the narrowest possible way] a homogenous coalition of congenial/like-minded gangs, as opposed to the quarreling collection of incompatible gangs in the democratic party whose heads have been butted together for far too long and which have long been overdue for a divorce.



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03 Feb 2020, 3:40 am

auntblabby wrote:
i think in the event of another democratic loss this november, the democratic party will FINALLY split apart along its cultural fault lines in a nasty schism for the ages. as it is, in terms of homogeneity it is the opposite of the GOP which is, above all [in the narrowest possible way] a homogenous coalition of congenial/like-minded gangs, as opposed to the quarreling collection of incompatible gangs in the democratic party whose heads have been butted together for far too long and which have long been overdue for a divorce.


I disagree that the republican party is a homogenous coalition of congenial/like-minded gangs. The republican party is a strange alliance of Christian Evangelicals, Right-Wing Populists, Neo-conservatives, and Libertarians each of which are pretty different in their own right. I think the difference between the Republicans and the Democrats is the Republicans keep their squabbles behind closed doors and present a unified front to the public.


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03 Feb 2020, 5:07 am

Antrax wrote:
If Sanders wins it will be on the momentum of winning all the early states. That's certainly possible however, I think he has a real problem in that he does not play in the South among southern democrats and among African American democrats. The last several Democratic nominees all did so on the strength of that demographic. Biden does which is why he's led the national polls consistently while hardly ever leading Iowa. If you want to draw a parallel to Trump, Biden polling wise is the better comp (though Bernie might be the better ideological fit).

Agreed

Antrax wrote:
More Republican primaries tend to be closed so that only registered party members can vote. Add in that there are more Republican-leaning independents and its easy to see how the Democratic process tends to more strongly limit the chances of nominating a radical candidate.

Open primaries raise the possibility of Republicans voting for Sanders because they feel he gives Trump the best chance to win.


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03 Feb 2020, 7:17 am

Warren is probably the weakest of the main Democratic candidates. Kind of a more left-wing version of Hillary Clinton.

Sanders as the nominee is difficult to predict. Could either win or lose badly. Would be fascinating in any case.

Biden is also difficult to predict.

Bloomberg could yet buy his way to the nomination, or perhaps one of the duller candidates like Pete whatshisname or Klobuchar will cause an upset, but it seems unlikely.

Yang would probably be my first choice, ftr.



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03 Feb 2020, 9:09 am

I had been getting phone calls and text messages from the Sanders and Warren campaigns. Once I told them that I would not vote for someone who did not serve in the military ("... especially a draft-dodger like Sanders..."), they took me off their poling lists.



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03 Feb 2020, 9:20 am

Fnord wrote:
I had been getting phone calls and text messages from the Sanders and Warren campaigns. Once I told them that I would not vote for someone who did not serve in the military ("... especially a draft-dodger like Sanders..."), they took me off their poling lists.


So you wouldn't vote for Trump either?


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