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Drake
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02 Nov 2016, 3:03 pm

0_equals_true wrote:
Here is an example. He is saying that working hard beats smarts every time and you can make up for lack of talent that way:
http://ed.ted.com/lessons/richard-st-jo ... ard#review

Yet he provides no empirical data to back that up, purely anecdotal interviews. You can get the gist of what he saying, but without a way of measuring exactly how hard people work in relations to their success with axis for academic performance/IQ it is fair to say this is not a credible theory at all. Given that many people are likely working just as hard as these very successful people, if there is an agreed upon way of measuring work.

What he did quite cleverly is figure out that if he manage to do 500 interviews with successful people (tm), he could call himself a success expert and market himself as such. So in reality he is good at marketing/selling himself and public speaking. However that still doesn't do anything to back up his theory, it is just a way he can get on the lecture circuit. He is not making people more successful by telling them to work hard anymore than anyone else.

Obviously people who are successful are good at being successful, especially if they are capable of repeating that success. So they are clearly good at something and this is all relative. They may well work hard in term of hours, but that doesn't mean they are using the same energy or putting in the same raw effort.

If a person lacks mental capacity it is quite probable the certain types of hard work would harder to achieve that someone who doesn't, and if the person is competing with them directly, chances are they won't be able to. Unless they find some edge that will tip the scales.

Everyone has to find their edge before hard work is likely to pay off. If you have great general ability then you have options, if you have lower mental and physical capacity then it is probable that your options will be greatly diminished.

This example doesn't work. First of all, he clearly states at the start of the video this is the second of eight traits in successful people, not the be all and end all. And second of all, he's saying just what I said, that if talent doesn't work hard then hard work beats talent.

This reminds me of a story a teacher at school told us before our exams about a girl who she'd seen crying after a previous year's exam results were in and her friend, who'd done better than her saying "but you're better than me." And she'd done better because she'd outworked her more gifted friend.



Drake
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02 Nov 2016, 3:25 pm

anagram wrote:
relevant random youtube video that explains it clearly:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1k7jeQQdqPA

I have actually seen this before. :)

But it does nothing to say people believe the myth the OP talks about, or disprove the stuff about successful people.

The successful people in question are the 1%. If being a part of that group was easy or involved no risk, everyone would be doing it. If you wanted to be part of the 1% surely you would know this.

Success doesn't have to be defined by being on the top. If you wanted to be the next Lionel Messi, that may be a goal that is beyond every person on the planet. But if you just wanted to make a living from the game and devoted your mind, body and soul to it from a young age and were an able bodied male, I say that is attainable.



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02 Nov 2016, 3:47 pm

Drake wrote:
But it does nothing to say people believe the myth the OP talks about, or disprove the stuff about successful people.

well that's another story, it's really just a straightforward explanation of part of how it works

in my post before that one, though, i did explain how i see the myth as widespread. it's not so much a logical fallacy as it is an underlying moral foundation that is generally not subject to logical reasoning. it's a self-replicating fear and defensiveness against real-world evidence that could debunk your understanding of what defines your worth as a person. it's on a more instinctive level of self-preservation than any rational logic would be

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Success doesn't have to be defined by being on the top. If you wanted to be the next Lionel Messi, that may be a goal that is beyond every person on the planet. But if you just wanted to make a living from the game and devoted your mind, body and soul to it from a young age and were an able bodied male, I say that is attainable.

the catch is: there's no concrete reason why you would need to even try or aspire to be the next lionel messi. and no reason why he would automatically be a role model in any way either. these subtleties are much harder to grasp than the (rather obvious) fact that only few people can be a lionel messi at any given point in time, or even the (slightly less obvious) fact that not everyone is born with the potential to ever be a lionel messi


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02 Nov 2016, 3:53 pm

stevens2010 wrote:
I agree that hard work does not guarantee success. A look around the music industry will show this very clearly. For every Miley Cyrus, there are a hundred thousand talented musicians, that hardly can get a gig performing Sunday at church. The ultimate proof of this scam would be Milli Vanilli, a virtual duo of pretty people cobbled together from a pair lip-syncers. See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Milli_Vanilli . It would have been easier to put out the real vocalists who performed the biggest hits they had, but they weren't "stylish."

Style over substance, every time.

This is because all that stuff is entirely subjective. Talent is overwhelmingly the best attribute there, there is some room for hard work, but it is really limited. You either have it or you don't, there's little room for improvement. You have to be the diamond to begin with, then you can work on refining it. No matter how hard a rock tries, it can never be a diamond.



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02 Nov 2016, 4:04 pm

Drake, do you believe that luck doesn't factor in as well? Some lazy people can be incredibly lucky and have everything handed to them on a silver platter, or know the 'right' people and not have to work hard at all to get what they want.


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Drake
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02 Nov 2016, 4:20 pm

anagram wrote:
Drake wrote:
But it does nothing to say people believe the myth the OP talks about, or disprove the stuff about successful people.

well that's another story, it's really just a straightforward explanation of part of how it works

in my post before that one, though, i did explain how i see the myth as widespread. it's not so much a logical fallacy as it is an underlying moral foundation that is generally not subject to logical reasoning. it's a self-replicating fear and defensiveness against real-world evidence that could debunk your understanding of what defines your worth as a person. it's on a more instinctive level of self-preservation than any rational logic would be

Quote:
Success doesn't have to be defined by being on the top. If you wanted to be the next Lionel Messi, that may be a goal that is beyond every person on the planet. But if you just wanted to make a living from the game and devoted your mind, body and soul to it from a young age and were an able bodied male, I say that is attainable.

the catch is: there's no concrete reason why you would need to even try or aspire to be the next lionel messi. and no reason why he would automatically be a role model in any way either. these subtleties are much harder to grasp than the (rather obvious) fact that only few people can be a lionel messi at any given point in time, or even the (slightly less obvious) fact that not everyone is born with the potential to ever be a lionel messi

I admit I'm having a hard time relating to what you are saying, though that might be more to do with the kind of person I am. Basically I'm nearly impervious to peer pressure. So the pressure you were talking about at the bottom of that other post, to want to keep working beyond what is necessary to keep you and your family living comfortably I really don't understand. I don't feel that way myself either. There'd have to be some reason to work beyond living comfortably such as genuinely enjoying that work, or having a higher goal that I needed that extra money for to attain. I also place absolutely no value on status symbols.

Unless you want people to admire you, is there really any reason to keep going? Would it really make anyone who doesn't really care about that feel pressured to keep going and make them keep going?



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02 Nov 2016, 4:25 pm

SilverProteus wrote:
Drake, do you believe that luck doesn't factor in as well? Some lazy people can be incredibly lucky and have everything handed to them on a silver platter, or know the 'right' people and not have to work hard at all to get what they want.

Of course. Easiest example would be a lottery winner or someone born with the proverbial silver spoon in their mouth. But the power of knowing the right people is also something pretty clear for all the World to see.

But hard work I see as a reliable modifier to increasing your chances of success and an attribute I value highly in people. And it is something you can control.



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02 Nov 2016, 4:32 pm

Drake wrote:
Unless you want people to admire you, is there really any reason to keep going? Would it really make anyone who doesn't really care about that feel pressured to keep going and make them keep going?

yes and no. first there's family. family pressure is always complicated. but even if that's out of the way, there's the pressure of adapting to work environment expectations, because people will often equate visible (but indirect) signs of something as the real thing, and will see the absence of those signs as absence of the real thing. "no degree? you must be either lazy or incompetent, and almost definitely not smart". stuff like that (though that's just a fairly obvious example. in practice it applies to all kinds of daily subtleties that typically befuddle aspergians and other social outliers)

in the end, if, despite your disinclination (or maybe even inability) to care about social status in your daily life, you really have what you need and what you want career-wise, then, even if you have talent and you have worked hard, it still means you're lucky


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02 Nov 2016, 4:34 pm

SilverProteus wrote:
Drake, do you believe that luck doesn't factor in as well? Some lazy people can be incredibly lucky and have everything handed to them on a silver platter, or know the 'right' people and not have to work hard at all to get what they want.


I remember a comment made by one engineer about another engineer that everything he does--even his hobby projects--turn into money!



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02 Nov 2016, 4:48 pm

Drake wrote:
But hard work I see as a reliable modifier to increasing your chances of success and an attribute I value highly in people. And it is something you can control.

now that's something i simply disagree with. let's say you're a high-school teacher. let's say you're really good at it, and extremely passionate and dedicated. but let's say teachers are taken for granted where you live, except for those who teach at the top-10% schools

okay, so, if you don't know the right people and don't have the right kind of (professionally-irrelevant) charm to convince those employers to hire you, do you have any chance of being hired by one of those top-10% schools? the answer is simple: no. they have plenty of qualified or even overqualified candidates for the job. then let's say you work hard for 10 or 20 years teaching at a bottom-90% school, underpaid all the way, barely managing to make ends meet, but still excelling at your job. and then you apply for a top-10% job. will your chances have increased by then? the answer is simple: probably not. they may have even decreased instead, because you've been isolated from the "right" professional ecosystem for too long

so it really takes the right conditions and the right scenarios for hard work to be a significant predictor of good outcomes. in the example above, if the reason why you're still excelling at your job is because you enjoy it even though you're underpaid, then, good for you, you're already successful. but if you feel like killing yourself every day when you get home, and you yearn for the days when you'll be properly paid and valued, then you're seriously doing it all wrong


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02 Nov 2016, 4:57 pm

Drake wrote:
SilverProteus wrote:
Drake, do you believe that luck doesn't factor in as well? Some lazy people can be incredibly lucky and have everything handed to them on a silver platter, or know the 'right' people and not have to work hard at all to get what they want.

Of course. Easiest example would be a lottery winner or someone born with the proverbial silver spoon in their mouth. But the power of knowing the right people is also something pretty clear for all the World to see.

But hard work I see as a reliable modifier to increasing your chances of success and an attribute I value highly in people. And it is something you can control.


If luck is also involved then the outcome (success) is something you can control only to a point. Sure you can control your own willpower and motivate yourself to work hard but what's the point if it amounts to nothing?

I consider planning, making one's own luck and seizing opportunities to be more important than hard work when it comes to being successful.

For instance, let's say success in this example would getting that dream job. It depends on other factors, such as having made the right choices in life. You can study all the wrong subjects, and study them hard, but it will amount to nothing if you haven't acquired the proper skills for that dream job. You need to know where you're going, and to be able to plan the future. There are external factors over which you have no control. The job has to be on offer in the first place. Your competition might simply be more gifted than you and work just as hard, making that gap really difficult to compensate for. They might be more social than you, and have the right connections. They may have overall better qualifications (having made the right choices). In other words, you just might not have what it takes to be successful, no matter how hard you try.

Basically I think basing meritocracy on hard work looks really nice on paper, but not entirely representative of reality.


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02 Nov 2016, 5:05 pm

BTDT wrote:
SilverProteus wrote:
Drake, do you believe that luck doesn't factor in as well? Some lazy people can be incredibly lucky and have everything handed to them on a silver platter, or know the 'right' people and not have to work hard at all to get what they want.


I remember a comment made by one engineer about another engineer that everything he does--even his hobby projects--turn into money!


Some people just make it seem so easy. *sigh*


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02 Nov 2016, 5:08 pm

Drake wrote:
This example doesn't work. First of all, he clearly states at the start of the video this is the second of eight traits in successful people, not the be all and end all. And second of all, he's saying just what I said, that if talent doesn't work hard then hard work beats talent.

Which exactly what I'm disputing. Where is you proof that that if you lack talent you can beat it with hard work?

As as general rule this isn't credible. You need something like talent or some other advantage which you can work hard with.



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02 Nov 2016, 5:18 pm

anagram wrote:
Drake wrote:
But hard work I see as a reliable modifier to increasing your chances of success and an attribute I value highly in people. And it is something you can control.

now that's something i simply disagree with. let's say you're a high-school teacher. let's say you're really good at it, and extremely passionate and dedicated. but let's say teachers are taken for granted where you live, except for those who teach at the top-10% schools

okay, so, if you don't know the right people and don't have the right kind of (professionally-irrelevant) charm to convince those employers to hire you, do you have any chance of being hired by one of those top-10% schools? the answer is simple: no. they have plenty of qualified or even overqualified candidates for the job. then let's say you work hard for 10 or 20 years teaching at a bottom-90% school, underpaid all the way, barely managing to make ends meet, but still excelling at your job. and then you apply for a top-10% job. will your chances have increased by then? the answer is simple: probably not. they may have even decreased instead, because you've been isolated from the "right" professional ecosystem for too long

so it really takes the right conditions and the right scenarios for hard work to be a significant predictor of good outcomes. in the example above, if the reason why you're still excelling at your job is because you enjoy it even though you're underpaid, then, good for you, you're already successful. but if you feel like killing yourself every day when you get home, and you yearn for the days when you'll be properly paid and valued, then you're seriously doing it all wrong

Or maybe that 20 years of hard work will by then have allowed you to have become head teacher at the school you're currently at and even mould that school into a top 10% school.

I am puzzled because I don't know what point you're trying to make. I have never disagreed with the idea hard work is not a magic solution to everything. And am in fact saying I don't think people think it is. But it is the one thing you have the most control over and it can impress the kind of people you need to impress. These things about successful people emphasise hard work and emphasise surrounding yourself with the right people. They don't have to and shouldn't be mutually exclusive. Both are better than one.



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02 Nov 2016, 5:25 pm

0_equals_true wrote:
Drake wrote:
This example doesn't work. First of all, he clearly states at the start of the video this is the second of eight traits in successful people, not the be all and end all. And second of all, he's saying just what I said, that if talent doesn't work hard then hard work beats talent.

Which exactly what I'm disputing. Where is you proof that that if you lack talent you can beat it with hard work?

As as general rule this isn't credible. You need something like talent or some other advantage which you can work hard with.

It depends. Like he said if you're a C and they're an A and they don't realise their potential and you realise yours, you can beat that person. But you already had some talent because you were a C. The larger the gap the more of a gap you need between the work you put in and the work they put in. An average woman can be physically stronger than an average man if she puts in enough work while he doesn't.



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02 Nov 2016, 5:34 pm

Drake wrote:
Or maybe that 20 years of hard work will by then have allowed you to have become head teacher at the school you're currently at and even mould that school into a top 10% school.

if the 90% i'm talking about are underfunded public schools where everyone is taken for granted and underpaid (some more than others, but still, nearly everyone is underpaid), and the 10% are private schools where everyone is well-paid (because any parents who can afford to keep their children out of public schools will be willing to pay disproportionately high prices for it), then being "head teacher" means little more than the satisfaction of knowing you're above someone. besides, it's a political position, not a didactic one. even in this smaller context, your contacts and your ability to use them matter more

Quote:
I am puzzled because I don't know what point you're trying to make. I have never disagreed with the idea hard work is not a magic solution to everything. And am in fact saying I don't think people think it is. But it is the one thing you have the most control over and it can impress the kind of people you need to impress. These things about successful people emphasise hard work and emphasise surrounding yourself with the right people. They don't have to and shouldn't be mutually exclusive. Both are better than one.

but that's exactly what i'm arguing: they shouldn't (and aren't) mutually exclusive, but you're actually more likely to be successful in terms of employment if you're professionally lazy and incompetent but know how to use your contacts than you would be if it were the other way around. social connections and social ability matter more as a predictor than both hard work and job-specific talent combined in most cases. in some specific areas it may be different, but those are the exception (and not an option for most people, because they demand very specific skills), and even those areas won't be universally meritocratic


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Last edited by anagram on 02 Nov 2016, 5:38 pm, edited 3 times in total.